Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 1:00pm CT · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA · ACCNXFinal
ME
Maine Black Bears · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+37.5 (-105)
BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row
-37.5 (-115)

Market vs model

Spread
BC -37.5
BC -37.5 (-115)
ME +37.5 (-105)
Model
BC -8.7
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BC
BC · ME
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BC rating -5.8, ME rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BC.
  • Predicted margin is BC by 8.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is BC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ME

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

BC

FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.