Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00am CT · Bobby Dodd Stadium · Atlanta, GA · ACC NetworkFinal
MER
Mercer Bears · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+38.5 (-105)
—
GT
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 2.1 · rank 60 · No CFBD row
-38.5 (-115)
—
Market vs model
Spread
GT -38.5
GT -38.5 (-115)
MER +38.5 (-105)
MER +38.5 (-105)
Model
GT -16.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
GT
GT — · MER —
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- GT rating 2.1, MER rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to GT.
- Predicted margin is GT by 16.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 16.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is GT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MER
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
GT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 16.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.