Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00am CT · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson, SC · ESPNEWSFinal
UNC
North Carolina Tar Heels · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row
+3 (-115)
+124
CLEM
Clemson Tigers · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row
-3 (-105)
-148
Market vs model
Spread
CLEM -3
CLEM -3 (-105)
UNC +3 (-115)
UNC +3 (-115)
Model
CLEM -3.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CLEM
CLEM -148 · UNC +124
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CLEM rating 6.1, UNC rating 4.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CLEM.
- Predicted margin is CLEM by 3.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is CLEM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
CLEM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.