Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30pm CT · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY · ESPN2Final
#22 SMU
SMU Mustangs · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.2 · rank 26 · No CFBD row
+3 (-110)
+130
#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
-3 (-110)
-155
Market vs model
Spread
LOU -3
LOU -3 (-110)
SMU +3 (-110)
SMU +3 (-110)
Model
LOU -4.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LOU
LOU -155 · SMU +130
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LOU rating 13.9, SMU rating 12.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LOU.
- Predicted margin is LOU by 4.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SMU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
LOU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.