Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00pm CT · Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC · CWFinal
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
+9.5 (-108)
+295
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row
-9.5 (-112)
-375
Market vs model
Spread
DUKE -9.5
DUKE -9.5 (-112)
STAN +9.5 (-108)
STAN +9.5 (-108)
Model
DUKE -19.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DUKE
DUKE -375 · STAN +295
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- DUKE rating 9.1, STAN rating -7.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to DUKE.
- Predicted margin is DUKE by 19.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 19.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is DUKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
STAN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
DUKE
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 19.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.