Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30pm CT · SECU Stadium · College Park, MD · FS1Final
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-112)
-135
MD
Maryland Terrapins · Big Ten · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-108)
+114

Market vs model

Spread
VT -2.5
MD +2.5 (-108)
VT -2.5 (-112)
Model
VT -3.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VT
MD +114 · VT -135
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MD rating 5.5, VT rating 11.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MD.
  • Predicted margin is VT by 3.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is VT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

MD

FPI 5.5 · rank 48 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.