Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30pm CT · California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA · ACC NetworkFinal
WAG
Wagner Seahawks · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+58.5 (-110)
—
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row
-58.5 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
CAL -58.5
CAL -58.5 (-110)
WAG +58.5 (-110)
WAG +58.5 (-110)
Model
CAL -13
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CAL
CAL — · WAG —
Total 65.5 — no O/U pick
Total 65.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CAL rating -1.5, WAG rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CAL.
- Predicted margin is CAL by 13.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 13. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is CAL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WAG
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
CAL
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 13. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.