Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 25 · 9:30pm CT · California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA · ESPN9:30pm CT
CLEM
Clemson Tigers · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-105)
-112
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-115)
-108
Market vs model
Spread
CLEM -1.5
CAL +1.5 (-115)
CLEM -1.5 (-105)
CLEM -1.5 (-105)
Model
CLEM -5.1
Edge 3.6 pts CLEM
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CLEM
CAL -108 · CLEM -112
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CAL rating -1.5, CLEM rating 6.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CAL.
- Predicted margin is CLEM by 5.1.
- Edge is 3.6 points toward CLEM.
- Edge 3.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -7.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is CLEM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CLEM
- Wvs UNC 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs GASO 22-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ LSU 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs PSU 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ SC 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29
CAL
- Wvs WAG 49-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ SYR 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UCLA 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ HAW 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
- Wvs SMU 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.