Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 5:30pm CT · Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL · CW5:30pm CT
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row
+41.5 (-108)
—
#6 MIA
Miami Hurricanes · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row
-41.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
MIA -41.5
MIA -41.5 (-112)
CMU +41.5 (-108)
CMU +41.5 (-108)
Model
MIA -42.5
Edge 1 pts MIA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIA
MIA — · CMU —
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MIA rating 23.9, CMU rating -16.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MIA.
- Predicted margin is MIA by 42.5.
- Edge is 1 points toward MIA.
- Edge 1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 40; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MIA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CMU
- Wvs WYO 24-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs COLG 13-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ UNM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs NU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
- Lvs TOL 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29
MIA
- W@ WAKE 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
- Wvs FAMU 77-7 · Thu, Sep 10
- W@ STAN 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ IU 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
- Wvs MISS 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Edge 1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 40; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.