Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 5:00pm CT · Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA · ACC Network5:00pm CT
DEL
Delaware Blue Hens · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row
+19.5 (-110)
+850
UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
-19.5 (-110)
-1450

Market vs model

Spread
UVA -19.5
UVA -19.5 (-110)
DEL +19.5 (-110)
Model
UVA -15.7
Edge 3.8 pts DEL
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
UVA -1450 · DEL +850
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UVA rating 9.2, DEL rating -4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UVA.
  • Predicted margin is UVA by 15.7.
  • Edge is 3.8 points toward DEL.
  • Edge 3.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 13.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

DEL

FPI -4 · rank 82 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs CCU 22-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ VAN 35-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MRMK 42-7 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs UL 20-13 · Wed, Dec 17
  5. Wvs UTEP 61-31 · Sat, Nov 29

UVA

FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs WVU 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NORF 59-3 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs NCSU 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs MIZ 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs DUKE 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.