Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 9:30pm CT · Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA · ESPN9:30pm CT
GT
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 2.1 · rank 60 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (-102)
-175
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-118)
+145

Market vs model

Spread
GT -3.5
STAN +3.5 (-118)
GT -3.5 (-102)
Model
GT -7.5
Edge 4 pts GT
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
GT
STAN +145 · GT -175
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • STAN rating -7.9, GT rating 2.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to STAN.
  • Predicted margin is GT by 7.5.
  • Edge is 4 points toward GT.
  • Edge 4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -10; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is GT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

GT

FPI 2.1 · rank 60 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MER 44-11 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TENN 45-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs COLO 14-13 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs BYU 25-21 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs UGA 16-9 · Fri, Nov 28

STAN

FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ DUKE 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MIA 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  3. Wvs HAW 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs ND 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs CAL 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.