Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA · ACC Network11:00am CT
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
-14 (-108)
-600
BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row
+14 (-112)
+440

Market vs model

Spread
VT -14
BC +14 (-112)
VT -14 (-108)
Model
VT -14.9
Edge 0.9 pts VT
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VT
BC +440 · VT -600
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BC rating -5.8, VT rating 11.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BC.
  • Predicted margin is VT by 14.9.
  • Edge is 0.9 points toward VT.
  • Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -17.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is VT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MD 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ODU 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs VMI 73-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UVA 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MIA 34-17 · Sat, Nov 22

BC

FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs ME 22-16 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RUTG 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. L@ CIN 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ SYR 34-12 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs GT 36-34 · Sat, Nov 15

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -17.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML