Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY · ESPN11:00am CT
WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-115)
+410
#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-105)
-550
Market vs model
Spread
LOU -13.5
LOU -13.5 (-105)
WAKE +13.5 (-115)
WAKE +13.5 (-115)
Model
LOU -11.7
Edge 1.8 pts WAKE
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LOU
LOU -550 · WAKE +410
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LOU rating 13.9, WAKE rating 4.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LOU.
- Predicted margin is LOU by 11.7.
- Edge is 1.8 points toward WAKE.
- Edge 1.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 9.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WAKE
- Lvs MIA 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
- W@ PUR 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs AKR 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
- Wvs MSST 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
- L@ DUKE 49-32 · Sat, Nov 29
LOU
- Wvs SMU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs VILL 59-13 · Fri, Sep 11
- Lvs MISS 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
- Wvs TOL 27-22 · Tue, Dec 23
- Wvs UK 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.