Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC · ACCNX2:30pm CT
W&M
William & Mary Tribe · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+43.5 (-110)
—
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row
-43.5 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
DUKE -43.5
DUKE -43.5 (-110)
W&M +43.5 (-110)
W&M +43.5 (-110)
Model
DUKE -23.6
Edge 19.9 pts W&M
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DUKE
DUKE — · W&M —
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- DUKE rating 9.1, W&M rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to DUKE.
- Predicted margin is DUKE by 23.6.
- Edge is 19.9 points toward W&M.
- Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 21.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is DUKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
W&M
- Lvs FOR 52-27 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ LEH 44-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs DSU 22-15 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ VILL 35-32 · Fri, Aug 28
- Lvs RICH 28-21 · Sat, Nov 22
DUKE
- Wvs STAN 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ILL 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TULN 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs ASU 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs UVA 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 21.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.