Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 2 · 6:00pm CT · Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA · ESPN6:00pm CT
PITT
Pittsburgh Panthers · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row
+5.5 (-110)
+170
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
-5.5 (-110)
-205

Market vs model

Spread
VT -5.5
VT -5.5 (-110)
PITT +5.5 (-110)
Model
VT -1.8
Edge 3.7 pts PITT
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
VT -205 · PITT +170
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • VT rating 11.6, PITT rating 12.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to VT.
  • Predicted margin is VT by 1.8.
  • Edge is 3.7 points toward PITT.
  • Edge 3.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -0.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

PITT

FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SYR 27-13 · Thu, Sep 17
  2. Wvs UCF 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs M-OH 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ECU 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs MIA 38-7 · Sat, Nov 29

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MD 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ODU 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs VMI 73-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UVA 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MIA 34-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.