Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00am CT · Gerald J. Ford Stadium · Dallas, TX · CW11:00am CT
BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row
#22 SMU
SMU Mustangs · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.2 · rank 26 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
SMU
BC
Model
SMU -20.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SMU
SMU · BC
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SMU rating 12.2, BC rating -5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SMU.
  • Predicted margin is SMU by 20.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 20.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is SMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BC

FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs ME 22-16 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RUTG 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. L@ CIN 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ SYR 34-12 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs GT 36-34 · Sat, Nov 15

SMU

FPI 12.2 · rank 26 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ LOU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UCD 56-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ FSU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
  4. Wvs ARIZ 24-19 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ CAL 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 20.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.