Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · CBSSN · Indoor2:30pm CT
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row
UNLV
UNLV Rebels · Mountain West · 1-2 · Home
FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UNLV
CAL
Model
CAL -1.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
UNLV · CAL
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UNLV rating -5.9, CAL rating -1.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UNLV.
  • Predicted margin is CAL by 1.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 1.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CAL

FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WAG 49-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ SYR 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs UCLA 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ HAW 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
  5. Wvs SMU 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29

UNLV

FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UNT 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. W@ HAW 21-6 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Lvs MEM 27-21 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs OHIO 17-10 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. L@ BOIS 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 1.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.4; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.