Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Doak Campbell Stadium · Tallahassee, FL2:30pm CT
UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
FSU
Florida State Seminoles · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 7.8 · rank 39 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FSU
UVA
Model
FSU -1.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
FSU · UVA
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FSU rating 7.8, UVA rating 9.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FSU.
  • Predicted margin is FSU by 1.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UVA

FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs WVU 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NORF 59-3 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs NCSU 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs MIZ 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs DUKE 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6

FSU

FPI 7.8 · rank 39 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ ALA 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs SMU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
  3. Wvs NMSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. L@ FLA 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ NCSU 21-11 · Fri, Nov 21

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.