Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 9 · 6:00pm CT · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY · ESPN6:00pm CT
FSU
Florida State Seminoles · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 7.8 · rank 39 · No CFBD row
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#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
LOU —
FSU —
FSU —
Model
LOU -8.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LOU
LOU — · FSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LOU rating 13.9, FSU rating 7.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LOU.
- Predicted margin is LOU by 8.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FSU
- L@ ALA 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs SMU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
- Wvs NMSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ FLA 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ NCSU 21-11 · Fri, Nov 21
LOU
- Wvs SMU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs VILL 59-13 · Fri, Sep 11
- Lvs MISS 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
- Wvs TOL 27-22 · Tue, Dec 23
- Wvs UK 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.