Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA11:00pm CT
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CAL
VT
Model
VT -10.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VT
CAL · VT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CAL rating -1.5, VT rating 11.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CAL.
  • Predicted margin is VT by 10.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 10.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is VT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MD 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ODU 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs VMI 73-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UVA 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MIA 34-17 · Sat, Nov 22

CAL

FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WAG 49-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ SYR 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs UCLA 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ HAW 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
  5. Wvs SMU 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 10.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.