Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 17 · 6:30pm CT · Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA · ACCNX6:30pm CT
ELON
Elon Phoenix · 3-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
STAN
ELON
Model
STAN -6.6
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
STAN
STAN · ELON
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • STAN rating -7.9, ELON rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to STAN.
  • Predicted margin is STAN by 6.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 6.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is STAN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ELON

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SHU 24-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ URI 31-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ DAV 38-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs GLN 42-7 · Thu, Aug 27
  5. Wvs NCAT 55-17 · Sat, Nov 22

STAN

FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ DUKE 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MIA 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  3. Wvs HAW 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs ND 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs CAL 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 6.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.