Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · JMA Wireless Dome · Syracuse, NY · Indoor11:00pm CT
#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
SYR
Syracuse Orange · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 0.6 · rank 64 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
SYR
LOU
Model
LOU -10.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LOU
SYR · LOU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SYR rating 0.6, LOU rating 13.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SYR.
  • Predicted margin is LOU by 10.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 10.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is LOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LOU

FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SMU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs VILL 59-13 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Lvs MISS 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Wvs TOL 27-22 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. Wvs UK 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29

SYR

FPI 0.6 · rank 64 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ PITT 27-13 · Thu, Sep 17
  2. Lvs CAL 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UNH 66-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs BC 34-12 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ ND 70-7 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 10.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.