Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA11:00pm CT
PITT
Pittsburgh Panthers · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row
BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
BC
PITT
Model
PITT -15.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PITT
BC · PITT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BC rating -5.8, PITT rating 12.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BC.
  • Predicted margin is PITT by 15.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 15.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -18.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is PITT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

PITT

FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SYR 27-13 · Thu, Sep 17
  2. Wvs UCF 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs M-OH 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ECU 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs MIA 38-7 · Sat, Nov 29

BC

FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs ME 22-16 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RUTG 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. L@ CIN 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ SYR 34-12 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs GT 36-34 · Sat, Nov 15

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 15.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -18.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.