Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA11:00pm CT
WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CAL
WAKE
Model
WAKE -3.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WAKE
CAL · WAKE
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CAL rating -1.5, WAKE rating 4.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CAL.
  • Predicted margin is WAKE by 3.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WAKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WAKE

FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MIA 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. W@ PUR 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs AKR 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs MSST 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ DUKE 49-32 · Sat, Nov 29

CAL

FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WAG 49-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ SYR 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs UCLA 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ HAW 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
  5. Wvs SMU 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.