Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 6:00pm CT · Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA · ESPN6:00pm CT
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (-108)
+225
UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-112)
-278
Market vs model
Spread
UVA -6.5
UVA -6.5 (-112)
DUKE +6.5 (-108)
DUKE +6.5 (-108)
Model
UVA -2.6
Edge 3.9 pts DUKE
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
UVA -278 · DUKE +225
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UVA rating 9.2, DUKE rating 9.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UVA.
- Predicted margin is UVA by 2.6.
- Edge is 3.9 points toward DUKE.
- Edge 3.9 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
DUKE
- Wvs STAN 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ILL 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TULN 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs ASU 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs UVA 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6
UVA
- Lvs WVU 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs NORF 59-3 · Fri, Sep 11
- Wvs NCSU 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs MIZ 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
- Lvs DUKE 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.