Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 9:30pm CT · Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA · ESPN9:30pm CT
NCSU
NC State Wolfpack · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 2 · rank 61 · No CFBD row
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STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
STAN —
NCSU —
NCSU —
Model
NCSU -7.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NCSU
STAN — · NCSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- STAN rating -7.9, NCSU rating 2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to STAN.
- Predicted margin is NCSU by 7.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 7.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NCSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NCSU
- L@ VAN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs RICH 73-0 · Fri, Sep 11
- L@ UVA 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs MEM 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
- Wvs UNC 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
STAN
- L@ DUKE 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MIA 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs HAW 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ND 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs CAL 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 7.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.