Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NC11:00pm CT
SYR
Syracuse Orange · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 0.6 · rank 64 · No CFBD row
UNC
North Carolina Tar Heels · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UNC
SYR
Model
UNC -6.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNC
UNC · SYR
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UNC rating 4.9, SYR rating 0.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UNC.
  • Predicted margin is UNC by 6.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 6.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UNC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SYR

FPI 0.6 · rank 64 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ PITT 27-13 · Thu, Sep 17
  2. Lvs CAL 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UNH 66-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs BC 34-12 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ ND 70-7 · Sat, Nov 22

UNC

FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ CLEM 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ETSU 35-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TCU 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. L@ NCSU 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs DUKE 32-25 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 6.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.