Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC11:00pm CT
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row
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NCSU
NC State Wolfpack · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 2 · rank 61 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NCSU —
CAL —
CAL —
Model
NCSU -6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NCSU
NCSU — · CAL —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NCSU rating 2, CAL rating -1.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NCSU.
- Predicted margin is NCSU by 6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NCSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CAL
- Wvs WAG 49-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ SYR 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UCLA 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ HAW 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
- Wvs SMU 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29
NCSU
- L@ VAN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs RICH 73-0 · Fri, Sep 11
- L@ UVA 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs MEM 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
- Wvs UNC 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.