Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC11:00pm CT
BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
DUKE
BC
Model
DUKE -17.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DUKE
DUKE · BC
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • DUKE rating 9.1, BC rating -5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to DUKE.
  • Predicted margin is DUKE by 17.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 17.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is DUKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BC

FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs ME 22-16 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RUTG 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. L@ CIN 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ SYR 34-12 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs GT 36-34 · Sat, Nov 15

DUKE

FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs STAN 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ILL 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TULN 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs ASU 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Wvs UVA 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 17.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.