Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Doak Campbell Stadium · Tallahassee, FL11:00pm CT
CLEM
Clemson Tigers · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-105)
-112
FSU
Florida State Seminoles · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 7.8 · rank 39 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-115)
-108
Market vs model
Spread
CLEM -1.5
FSU +1.5 (-115)
CLEM -1.5 (-105)
CLEM -1.5 (-105)
Model
FSU -4.2
Edge 5.7 pts FSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FSU
FSU -108 · CLEM -112
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FSU rating 7.8, CLEM rating 6.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FSU.
- Predicted margin is FSU by 4.2.
- Edge is 5.7 points toward FSU.
- Edge 5.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CLEM
- Wvs UNC 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs GASO 22-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ LSU 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs PSU 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ SC 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29
FSU
- L@ ALA 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs SMU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
- Wvs NMSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ FLA 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ NCSU 21-11 · Fri, Nov 21
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.