Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NC11:00pm CT
#6 MIA
Miami Hurricanes · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row
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UNC
North Carolina Tar Heels · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UNC —
MIA —
MIA —
Model
MIA -16.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIA
UNC — · MIA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNC rating 4.9, MIA rating 23.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNC.
- Predicted margin is MIA by 16.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 16.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -18.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MIA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MIA
- W@ WAKE 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
- Wvs FAMU 77-7 · Thu, Sep 10
- W@ STAN 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
- L@ IU 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
- Wvs MISS 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
UNC
- L@ CLEM 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ETSU 35-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TCU 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ NCSU 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs DUKE 32-25 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 16.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -18.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.