Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY11:00pm CT
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
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#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
LOU —
STAN —
STAN —
Model
LOU -24.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LOU
LOU — · STAN —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LOU rating 13.9, STAN rating -7.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LOU.
- Predicted margin is LOU by 24.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 24.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 21.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
STAN
- L@ DUKE 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MIA 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs HAW 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ND 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs CAL 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22
LOU
- Wvs SMU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs VILL 59-13 · Fri, Sep 11
- Lvs MISS 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
- Wvs TOL 27-22 · Tue, Dec 23
- Wvs UK 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 24.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 21.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.