Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC11:00pm CT
UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
WAKE
UVA
Model
UVA -2.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
WAKE · UVA
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WAKE rating 4.6, UVA rating 9.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WAKE.
  • Predicted margin is UVA by 2.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UVA

FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs WVU 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NORF 59-3 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs NCSU 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs MIZ 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs DUKE 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6

WAKE

FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MIA 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. W@ PUR 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs AKR 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs MSST 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ DUKE 49-32 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.