Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC11:00pm CT
UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
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WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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WAKE — UVA —
Model
UVA -2.1
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
WAKE — · UVA — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
WAKE rating 4.6, UVA rating 9.2.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to WAKE.
Predicted margin is UVA by 2.1.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UVA
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
Lvs WVU 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs NORF 59-3 · Fri, Sep 11
Wvs NCSU 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
Wvs MIZ 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
Lvs DUKE 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6
WAKE
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row
Lvs MIA 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
W@ PUR 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs AKR 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
Wvs MSST 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
L@ DUKE 49-32 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.