Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC11:00pm CT
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row
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NCSU
NC State Wolfpack · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 2 · rank 61 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
NCSU —
DUKE —
DUKE —
Model
DUKE -4.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DUKE
NCSU — · DUKE —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NCSU rating 2, DUKE rating 9.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NCSU.
- Predicted margin is DUKE by 4.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is DUKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
DUKE
- Wvs STAN 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ ILL 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TULN 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs ASU 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs UVA 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6
NCSU
- L@ VAN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs RICH 73-0 · Fri, Sep 11
- L@ UVA 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs MEM 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
- Wvs UNC 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.