Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 6 · 6:00pm CT · Gerald J. Ford Stadium · Dallas, TX · ESPN6:00pm CT
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
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#22 SMU
SMU Mustangs · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.2 · rank 26 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
SMU —
VT —
VT —
Model
SMU -3.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SMU
SMU — · VT —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SMU rating 12.2, VT rating 11.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SMU.
- Predicted margin is SMU by 3.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is SMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
VT
- W@ MD 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ODU 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs VMI 73-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ UVA 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs MIA 34-17 · Sat, Nov 22
SMU
- L@ LOU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UCD 56-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ FSU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
- Wvs ARIZ 24-19 · Fri, Jan 2
- L@ CAL 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.