Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA11:00pm CT
FSU
Florida State Seminoles · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 7.8 · rank 39 · No CFBD row
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BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
BC —
FSU —
FSU —
Model
FSU -11.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FSU
BC — · FSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BC rating -5.8, FSU rating 7.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BC.
- Predicted margin is FSU by 11.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 11.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FSU
- L@ ALA 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs SMU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
- Wvs NMSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ FLA 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ NCSU 21-11 · Fri, Nov 21
BC
- Wvs ME 22-16 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs RUTG 28-21 · Fri, Sep 11
- L@ CIN 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ SYR 34-12 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs GT 36-34 · Sat, Nov 15
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 11.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.