Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC11:00pm CT
MRMK
Merrimack Warriors · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
WAKE
MRMK
Model
WAKE -19.1
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WAKE
WAKE · MRMK
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WAKE rating 4.6, MRMK rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WAKE.
  • Predicted margin is WAKE by 19.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 19.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is WAKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MRMK

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TAR 45-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ME 23-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ DEL 42-7 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs URI 34-7 · Fri, Aug 28
  5. Wvs FOR 27-26 · Sat, Nov 22

WAKE

FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MIA 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. W@ PUR 38-36 2OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs AKR 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs MSST 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ DUKE 49-32 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 19.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.