Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 7 · 6:30pm CT · Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN · NBC6:30pm CT
#6 MIA
Miami Hurricanes · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (-112)
+195
#3 ND
Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Independents · 3-0 · Home
FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-108)
-238

Market vs model

Spread
ND -6.5
ND -6.5 (-108)
MIA +6.5 (-112)
Model
ND -5.4
Edge 1.1 pts MIA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ND
ND -238 · MIA +195
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ND rating 26.8, MIA rating 23.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ND.
  • Predicted margin is ND by 5.4.
  • Edge is 1.1 points toward MIA.
  • Edge 1.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MIA

FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ WAKE 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. Wvs FAMU 77-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ STAN 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ IU 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
  5. Wvs MISS 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8

ND

FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MSU 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RICE 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WIS 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. W@ STAN 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs SYR 70-7 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 1.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.