Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 7 · 11:00am CT · Pratt & Whitney Stadium · East Hartford, CT · CBSSN11:00am CT
UNC
North Carolina Tar Heels · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row
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CONN
UConn Huskies · Independents · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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CONN —
UNC —
UNC —
Model
UNC -8.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNC
CONN — · UNC —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CONN rating -5.8, UNC rating 4.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CONN.
- Predicted margin is UNC by 8.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UNC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNC
- L@ CLEM 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ETSU 35-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TCU 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ NCSU 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs DUKE 32-25 · Sat, Nov 22
CONN
- W@ USM 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MD 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs LAF 56-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ARMY 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.