Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 6:00pm CT · Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA · ESPN6:00pm CT
FSU
Florida State Seminoles · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 7.8 · rank 39 · No CFBD row
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PITT
Pittsburgh Panthers · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
PITT —
FSU —
FSU —
Model
PITT -7.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PITT
PITT — · FSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- PITT rating 12.3, FSU rating 7.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to PITT.
- Predicted margin is PITT by 7.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is PITT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FSU
- L@ ALA 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs SMU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
- Wvs NMSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ FLA 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ NCSU 21-11 · Fri, Nov 21
PITT
- Wvs SYR 27-13 · Thu, Sep 17
- Wvs UCF 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs M-OH 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ECU 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
- Lvs MIA 38-7 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.