Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL11:00pm CT
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row
+21 (-108)
+1000
#6 MIA
Miami Hurricanes · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row
-21 (-112)
-1800

Market vs model

Spread
MIA -21
MIA -21 (-112)
DUKE +21 (-108)
Model
MIA -17.2
Edge 3.8 pts DUKE
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIA
MIA -1800 · DUKE +1000
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MIA rating 23.9, DUKE rating 9.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MIA.
  • Predicted margin is MIA by 17.2.
  • Edge is 3.8 points toward DUKE.
  • Edge 3.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 14.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MIA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

DUKE

FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs STAN 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ILL 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TULN 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs ASU 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Wvs UVA 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6

MIA

FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ WAKE 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. Wvs FAMU 77-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ STAN 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ IU 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
  5. Wvs MISS 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.