Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NC11:00pm CT
#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
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UNC
North Carolina Tar Heels · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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UNC —
LOU —
LOU —
Model
LOU -6.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LOU
UNC — · LOU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNC rating 4.9, LOU rating 13.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNC.
- Predicted margin is LOU by 6.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 6.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
LOU
- Wvs SMU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs VILL 59-13 · Fri, Sep 11
- Lvs MISS 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
- Wvs TOL 27-22 · Tue, Dec 23
- Wvs UK 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
UNC
- L@ CLEM 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ETSU 35-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TCU 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ NCSU 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs DUKE 32-25 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 6.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.