Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA11:00pm CT
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
VT
STAN
Model
VT -22
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VT
VT · STAN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • VT rating 11.6, STAN rating -7.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to VT.
  • Predicted margin is VT by 22.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 22. No market line yet. (Rating gap 19.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is VT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

STAN

FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ DUKE 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MIA 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  3. Wvs HAW 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs ND 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs CAL 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MD 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ODU 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs VMI 73-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UVA 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MIA 34-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 22. No market line yet. (Rating gap 19.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.