Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL11:00pm CT
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
+16.5 (-105)
+675
#6 MIA
Miami Hurricanes · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row
-16.5 (-115)
-1050

Market vs model

Spread
MIA -16.5
MIA -16.5 (-115)
VT +16.5 (-105)
Model
MIA -14.7
Edge 1.8 pts VT
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIA
MIA -1050 · VT +675
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MIA rating 23.9, VT rating 11.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MIA.
  • Predicted margin is MIA by 14.7.
  • Edge is 1.8 points toward VT.
  • Edge 1.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 12.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MIA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ MD 35-26 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ODU 44-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs VMI 73-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UVA 27-7 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs MIA 34-17 · Sat, Nov 22

MIA

FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ WAKE 33-20 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. Wvs FAMU 77-7 · Thu, Sep 10
  3. W@ STAN 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ IU 27-21 · Mon, Jan 19
  5. Wvs MISS 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.