Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 6:30pm CT · Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC · ESPN6:30pm CT
CLEM
Clemson Tigers · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
DUKE
CLEM
Model
DUKE -5.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
DUKE
DUKE · CLEM
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • DUKE rating 9.1, CLEM rating 6.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to DUKE.
  • Predicted margin is DUKE by 5.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 5.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is DUKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CLEM

FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNC 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs GASO 22-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ LSU 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs PSU 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ SC 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29

DUKE

FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs STAN 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ILL 31-27 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TULN 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs ASU 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Wvs UVA 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 5.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.