Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Doak Campbell Stadium · Tallahassee, FL11:00pm CT
NCSU
NC State Wolfpack · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI 2 · rank 61 · No CFBD row
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FSU
Florida State Seminoles · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI 7.8 · rank 39 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
FSU —
NCSU —
NCSU —
Model
FSU -8.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FSU
FSU — · NCSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FSU rating 7.8, NCSU rating 2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FSU.
- Predicted margin is FSU by 8.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NCSU
- L@ VAN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs RICH 73-0 · Fri, Sep 11
- L@ UVA 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs MEM 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
- Wvs UNC 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
FSU
- L@ ALA 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs SMU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
- Wvs NMSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ FLA 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ NCSU 21-11 · Fri, Nov 21
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.