Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA11:00pm CT
UNC
North Carolina Tar Heels · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row
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UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UVA —
UNC —
UNC —
Model
UVA -6.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
UVA — · UNC —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UVA rating 9.2, UNC rating 4.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UVA.
- Predicted margin is UVA by 6.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNC
- L@ CLEM 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ETSU 35-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TCU 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ NCSU 42-19 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs DUKE 32-25 · Sat, Nov 22
UVA
- Lvs WVU 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs NORF 59-3 · Fri, Sep 11
- Wvs NCSU 34-8 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs MIZ 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
- Lvs DUKE 27-20 OT · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.