Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA11:00pm CT
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
—
—
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
CAL —
STAN —
STAN —
Model
CAL -8.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CAL
CAL — · STAN —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CAL rating -1.5, STAN rating -7.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CAL.
- Predicted margin is CAL by 8.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is CAL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
STAN
- L@ DUKE 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MIA 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs HAW 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ND 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs CAL 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22
CAL
- Wvs WAG 49-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ SYR 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UCLA 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ HAW 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
- Wvs SMU 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.