Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · California Memorial Stadium · Berkeley, CA11:00pm CT
PITT
Pittsburgh Panthers · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row
CAL
California Golden Bears · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CAL
PITT
Model
PITT -11.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PITT
CAL · PITT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CAL rating -1.5, PITT rating 12.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CAL.
  • Predicted margin is PITT by 11.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 11.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is PITT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

PITT

FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SYR 27-13 · Thu, Sep 17
  2. Wvs UCF 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs M-OH 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ECU 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs MIA 38-7 · Sat, Nov 29

CAL

FPI -1.5 · rank 73 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WAG 49-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ SYR 21-18 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs UCLA 45-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ HAW 35-31 · Wed, Dec 24
  5. Wvs SMU 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 11.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.