Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA11:00pm CT
#22 SMU
SMU Mustangs · ACC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.2 · rank 26 · No CFBD row
—
—
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
STAN —
SMU —
SMU —
Model
SMU -17.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SMU
STAN — · SMU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- STAN rating -7.9, SMU rating 12.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to STAN.
- Predicted margin is SMU by 17.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 17.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -20.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is SMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SMU
- L@ LOU 41-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UCD 56-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ FSU 27-24 · Mon, Sep 7
- Wvs ARIZ 24-19 · Fri, Jan 2
- L@ CAL 38-35 · Sat, Nov 29
STAN
- L@ DUKE 35-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MIA 45-6 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs HAW 37-27 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs ND 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs CAL 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 17.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -20.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.